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Chattanooga Housing Market Forecast for the Second Half of 2024: A New Construction

Karla Marie Swift
Market Research

As we move into the latter half of 2024, Chattanooga's housing market continues to exhibit a dynamic interplay of various economic factors. The market's trajectory is influenced by affordability, pricing, interest rates, absorption rates, and the balance of supply and demand. Here’s an in-depth look at what we can expect in the coming months.

Affordability and Pricing

Affordability remains a pivotal concern in Chattanooga's housing market. Despite rising home prices, increased wages in the local job market are helping to mitigate the affordability challenges. The influx of remote workers relocating to Chattanooga, often bringing higher salaries, further bolsters the local economy and aids in balancing affordability.

Interest Rates and Financing

Interest rates have been a significant variable in the housing market equation. Builders like Green Tech Homes have leveraged their buying power to negotiate preferred lender agreements, enabling them to offer competitive buy-down programs. These programs effectively lower interest rates for buyers, making new homes more affordable and attractive compared to resales. The anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to further stimulate the market, although this may also lead to a reduction in incentives currently offered by builders.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

The demand for new homes in Chattanooga is robust. According to a recent Zonda poll, 65% of homebuyers prefer new homes over resales, with 42% exclusively searching for new home inventory. However, supply remains a challenge. The new home inventory in the South is still recovering from the impacts of COVID-19, currently lagging 17% below the necessary replenish rate. This shortfall, coupled with a slower resale market, continues to constrain the available housing supply.

Absorption Rates and Market Trends

The absorption rate, which measures the rate at which available homes are sold in a specific market during a given time period, is a critical indicator of market health. Chattanooga's strong job market and increased wages are positively influencing absorption rates, indicating a healthy demand for new homes.

Benefits of New Construction

New homes offer several advantages that make them an attractive option for buyers:

1. Lower Insurance Premiums:

New homes typically have lower homeowner’s insurance premiums compared to resales due to their modern safety features and construction standards.

2. Reduced Maintenance Costs:

New homes come with warranties and are built with the latest materials and technologies, minimizing maintenance costs and out-of-pocket expenses.

3. Energy Efficiency:

Modern homes are designed to be energy-efficient, resulting in significantly lower utility bills. This can translate to savings of $250 to $300 per month on power and water bills compared to older homes.

4. Lower Home Improvement Expenses:

New homes feature contemporary designs and finishes that eliminate the need for immediate upgrades, unlike many resale homes, which often require substantial investments in renovations and repairs.

Conclusion

Chattanooga’s housing market, particularly the new construction segment, is poised for continued growth in the second half of 2024. With strong job growth, increasing wages, and innovative financing solutions, the market remains attractive to buyers. As the supply of new homes gradually catches up with demand, and with potential interest rate cuts on the horizon, the market is expected to maintain its momentum. Buyers should act swiftly to take advantage of current incentives and favorable conditions, as these opportunities may diminish once the market adjusts to the new economic landscape.By understanding these trends and leveraging the benefits of new home construction, buyers can make informed decisions and secure their place in Chattanooga’s thriving housing market.

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